Saturday, 10 January 2015

A Fabian Conference, just before the crash


Reminding me of my blog, a few days ago, noting that there are still problems over the 2008 economic collapse, it is useful to go through the flyer for the 2007 Fabian Society Annual Conference. Somehow there was plenty of stuff which has net been recycled to the bin, and every so often I had an instinct that ephemera might well be useful many years on.

Please remember that back in January 2007 (almost exactly eight years ago), Gordon Brown had been ousted out of Tony Blair, from his premiership. On the front cover of the leaflet, we has an image of blue sky, green fields, and trees in the distance, just like in the current poster, proudly advertised by David Cameron for the Tories, much mocked by his opponents. The main difference would seem to be that in 2007, there was no road going though the greenery, while in 2015, there was a road running through the middle.

Well, I guess all politicians copy roughly the same ideas.

Going through the text, rather than the images, the Fabians note that, in the next decade,
"In 2007, Britain will have a new Prime Minister. But how should the political and policy agenda change?" Join us to kick-start the new political year. Over 40 leading speakers and more than 700 delegates will b4egin the next decade debates that Britain needs. We will ask how progressives can set the political agenda, and debate what fresh approaches to inequality, education, the environment, democracy and foreign policy should be involved."

It is all completely laughable, especially what was going to happen next. Looking through this, I feel mightily relieved that I had got away from the Labour party many years previously.

There was one massive gap in the Fabian analysis, in that there was no mention of the economy. Absolutely nothing. No one seemed to bother about the thought that the British economy was becoming seriously unstable. It is of course possible that some of the delegates, and maybe even the occasional politician, might have had the inkling that the economy was on the tip of the upswing, and from then on, it was all going to go into decline. Even the Conservatives, at this stage, did not grasp the problems until after the crash, and so after early 2008, they needed to cobble up a few ideas to try to give an unsatisfactory interpretation of what was going on.


Looking at the main policy for discussion at the annual Fabian Conference, we had, in the morning, "Philosophy after Blair" (yawn!), "Battleground 2009" (but of of course Labour was in such a mess, that they needed to delay for another year, until there was going to be some sort of reprieve), "Left outside" (possibly vaguely interesting), "The media and Progressive Politics" (meaning what?) and Divided by Difference". In the afternoon, Life Chances, Environment, Education, Democracy, and The World After Bush.

But where was the economy, stupid?

There are some in the Labour party who have not been stupid:

Some material to go through, both for myself and for readers.

This year's Fabian New Year's Conference will be held next week. I shall not be interested myself.

I need to remind myself though that while I will almost certainly vote for Labour in May, I have no great expectation that Labour will handle things well.

The usual excuse these days is that no-one could possibly have foreseen what was about to happen, just before the crash. It seems much more the case that Labour deliberately ignored all the warning signs.


Can't see that the Conservatives have been doing well, or will be able to do well if they get in after May this year.

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